{"id":1756,"date":"2025-10-02T18:28:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T18:28:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/tom-lee-sees-sp-500-topping-7000-by-year-end-says-dont-be-fooled-by-shutdown-calamity-talk\/"},"modified":"2025-10-02T18:28:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T18:28:19","slug":"tom-lee-sees-sp-500-topping-7000-by-year-end-says-dont-be-fooled-by-shutdown-calamity-talk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/tom-lee-sees-sp-500-topping-7000-by-year-end-says-dont-be-fooled-by-shutdown-calamity-talk\/","title":{"rendered":"Tom Lee sees S&#038;P 500 topping 7,000 by year-end, says don&#8217;t be fooled by shutdown calamity talk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div>\n<div data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\">\n<p><span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ArticleBody-extraData\"><span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ArticleBody-extraData\"><span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"xyz-data\">The government shutdown is unlikely to derail the stock market&#8217;s momentum into year-end, according to Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors&#8217; head of research. Lee believes the suspension of economic data releases from federal agencies is a &#8220;sidebar issue,&#8221; adding that past shutdowns have had little lasting impact on equities. The widely followed strategist, who called 2025&#8217;s bull run to all-time highs in stocks, expects the S &amp; P 500 to reach at least 7,000 by December with potential for further gains. &#8220;We would not lean bearish because of shutdowns,&#8221; Lee wrote in a note to clients Thursday. &#8220;If stocks are down, we would be dip buyers. This is something to be mindful of, as we may hear of dire warnings of calamity because of the shutdown.&#8221; The S &amp; P 500 has surged almost 40% since its April lows, returning to record highs and bringing 2025 gains to 14%. The equity benchmark would have to climb about 4% to reach 7,000 from Wednesday&#8217;s close of 6,711.20. .SPX YTD mountain S &amp; P 500 Many on Wall Street believe the length of a government closure matters because\u00a0a longer-than-normal stoppage could weigh on an already fragile economy and put pressure on a stock market near record highs. Still, Lee pointed to seasonal strength as the main driver for equities from here. He noted that since 1950 the S &amp; P 500 has posted a median fourth-quarter gain of 4.9% with an 81% win ratio. Lee also highlighted parallels to 1998 and 2024, when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September and the index rose an average of 13.8% in the final three months of the year. A repeat of that pattern would imply a move toward 7,750. &#8220;There is a strong seasonal tailwind underway and the upside is higher given the Fed is dovish,&#8221; he said. Lee advised against moving defensive in response to the shutdown, though he said gold and bitcoin remain attractive holdings.<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The government shutdown is unlikely to derail the stock market&#8217;s momentum into year-end, according to Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors&#8217; head of research. Lee believes the suspension of economic data releases from federal agencies is a &#8220;sidebar issue,&#8221; adding that past shutdowns have had little lasting impact on equities. The widely followed strategist, who called [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1757,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[1707,235,1706,1705,777,1612,889,1704,479,527],"class_list":["post-1756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-loan","tag-calamity","tag-dont","tag-fooled","tag-lee","tag-sees","tag-shutdown","tag-talk","tag-tom","tag-topping","tag-yearend"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}