{"id":3269,"date":"2026-03-27T11:23:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T11:23:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/markets-ability-to-forecast-world-in-question\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T11:23:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T11:23:24","slug":"markets-ability-to-forecast-world-in-question","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/markets-ability-to-forecast-world-in-question\/","title":{"rendered":"Market&#8217;s ability to forecast world in question"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div id=\"SpecialReportArticle-ArticleBody-6\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"SpecialReportArticle-articleBody-6-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108281812\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108281812\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000407579\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Investors may want to take a step back as stocks swing amid rising geopolitical tensions.<\/p>\n<p>DBi&#8217;s Andrew Beer suggests the market&#8217;s crystal ball is broken.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s not normal for big markets to move as much as they are right now,&#8221; the firm&#8217;s managing member told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;ETF Edge&#8221; this week. &#8220;Something is deeply wrong in the market&#8217;s ability to forecast the state of the world&#8230; The only thing we can all do as investors is: This is the moment to plan and to prepare for the worst. You hope for the best.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Beer, who has spent more than three decades in the hedge fund industry, thinks it&#8217;s remarkable the number of stresses on the financial system over the past 12 to18 months hasn&#8217;t caused things to spin out of control.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You just you have more geopolitical risks stacked on top of each other today [and] more economic risk factors than I remember at any time in my career,&#8221; he added. <\/p>\n<p>Beer urges investors to ask themselves how they would act if a 2008 or 2022 market downturn happens again. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These financial assets are, they&#8217;re an investment, but they&#8217;re also what you need to survive, to live on, to retire, and so it&#8217;s the very real human side of it that I hope people will focus on,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>According to Beer, investing like it&#8217;s 2025 could turn into regret.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The best thing to do in 2025 was just turn off your computer beginning of the year and come back at the end of the year, and you&#8217;ve made money, your stocks and your bonds and everything else,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It won&#8217;t continue like that. We will go through a more difficult period.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Recent moves in <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-3\">gold,<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-4\">silver<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-5\">bitcoin<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> and <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-6\">crude oil<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> underscore how difficult it has become for investors to calibrate portfolios, especially as sharp reversals unfold over short periods of time, according to Beer. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;No one has a playbook for that,&#8221; said Beer, who is also watching for signs of strain in private credit, insurance company portfolios and other corners of the market where unusual stress could begin to spread.<\/p>\n<p>NovaDius Wealth Management&#8217;s Nate Geraci highlighted exchange-traded funds that are designed to offer portfolio protection \u2014 particularly managed futures ETFs.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is absolutely something that is a longer-term allocation, and I almost view it as portfolio insurance,&#8221; the firm&#8217;s president said in the same interview. &#8220;You want that insurance when something goes bad in the market, and maybe that&#8217;s stocks and bonds going down together.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"SpecialReportArticle-GooglePreferredSource-6\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors may want to take a step back as stocks swing amid rising geopolitical tensions. DBi&#8217;s Andrew Beer suggests the market&#8217;s crystal ball is broken. &#8220;It&#8217;s not normal for big markets to move as much as they are right now,&#8221; the firm&#8217;s managing member told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;ETF Edge&#8221; this week. &#8220;Something is deeply wrong in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3270,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[3092,1738,262,2339,1695],"class_list":["post-3269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-loan","tag-ability","tag-forecast","tag-markets","tag-question","tag-world"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3269"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3269\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3270"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}