{"id":4021,"date":"2026-06-16T17:55:44","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T17:55:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/the-new-oil-inside-the-effort-to-turn-ai-computing-power-into-a-tradeable-commodity\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T17:55:44","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T17:55:44","slug":"the-new-oil-inside-the-effort-to-turn-ai-computing-power-into-a-tradeable-commodity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/the-new-oil-inside-the-effort-to-turn-ai-computing-power-into-a-tradeable-commodity\/","title":{"rendered":"The new oil? Inside the effort to turn AI computing power into a tradeable commodity"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/><\/p>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108317667\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108317667\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000416048\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"\/><span\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>For decades, companies have turned to futures markets to manage uncertainty. Airlines hedge fuel costs. Farmers hedge crops. Manufacturers hedge metals.fcomm<\/p>\n<p>Now a startup wants to bring that same financial machinery to artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>Silicon Data, a company that tracks pricing across cloud providers and GPU marketplaces, has partnered with CME Group to launch what could become the world&#8217;s first futures contracts tied to the computational power needed to run AI, allowing companies to hedge against fluctuations in the cost to train and run AI models. The contracts are still awaiting regulatory approval.<\/p>\n<p>Early signs suggest investor interest is quickly emerging. Within days of Silicon Data&#8217;s announcement with CME Group, asset managers including ProShares and Rex Shares filed proposals for exchange-traded funds tied to the proposed contracts, including leveraged and inverse products.<\/p>\n<p>Founder and CEO Carmen Li believes the market could eventually rival some of the world&#8217;s largest commodity markets.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I think it will be larger&#8221; than oil futures, Li said in an interview, adding that energy demand tied to running artificial intelligence will eventually surpass all other energy uses, combined.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Like jet fuel<\/h3>\n<p>The idea stems from a simple observation: AI companies increasingly depend on compute in the same way airlines depend on jet fuel. <\/p>\n<p>Most companies don&#8217;t own the high-end graphics processing units, or GPUs, that power modern AI systems. Instead, they rent access through cloud providers and a growing ecosystem of so-called neoclouds. As demand for AI infrastructure surges, the cost of that compute can fluctuate, making it difficult for businesses to forecast expenses.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Right now we&#8217;re at a high point of uncertainty,&#8221; said Seoyoung Kim, a finance professor at Santa Clara University. &#8220;A lot of people don&#8217;t know how much computing power they&#8217;ll need in the next year, and a lot of suppliers of that computing power right now don&#8217;t know how many GPUs and to what capacity they should order and the manufacturers, like Nvidia, they don&#8217;t know how much they should produce.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed InlineImage-inlineInfographic\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108321910\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper InlineImage-wrapperNoCaption\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imagePlaceholder\" style=\"padding-bottom:56.49717514124294%\">\n<div><button class=\"InlineImage-closeEnlargedImage\"><svg width=\"20\" height=\"20\" viewbox=\"0 0 20 20\" fill=\"#002F6C\" aria-labelledby=\"title desc\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" data-analytic-id=\"expand-icon\" class=\"InlineImage-background\"><title>Zoom In Icon<\/title><desc>Arrows pointing outwards<\/desc><circle cx=\"10\" cy=\"10\" r=\"10\" fill=\"white\" stroke=\"#002F6C\"\/><path d=\"M9.20185 10.7982C8.96049 10.5568 8.57037 10.5568 8.32901 10.7982L5.67901 13.4482V11.2346C5.67901 10.8938 5.40308 10.6173 5.06173 10.6173C4.72037 10.6173 4.44444 10.8938 4.44444 11.2346V14.9383C4.44444 15.279 4.72037 15.5556 5.06173 15.5556H8.76543C9.10679 15.5556 9.38271 15.279 9.38271 14.9383C9.38271 14.5975 9.10679 14.321 8.76543 14.321H6.55185L9.20185 11.671C9.44321 11.4296 9.44321 11.0395 9.20185 10.7982ZM14.9383 4.44446H11.2346C10.8932 4.44446 10.6173 4.721 10.6173 5.06174C10.6173 5.40248 10.8932 5.67903 11.2346 5.67903H13.4481L10.7981 8.32903C10.5568 8.57038 10.5568 8.96051 10.7981 9.20187C10.9185 9.32224 11.0765 9.38273 11.2346 9.38273C11.3926 9.38273 11.5506 9.32224 11.671 9.20187L14.321 6.55187V8.76545C14.321 9.10619 14.5969 9.38273 14.9383 9.38273C15.2796 9.38273 15.5556 9.10619 15.5556 8.76545V5.06174C15.5556 4.721 15.2796 4.44446 14.9383 4.44446Z\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Silicon Data has built a series of GPU price indexes that track the hourly rental cost of specific chips across providers. The company hopes those benchmarks can serve as the foundation for a futures market, much as West Texas Intermediate crude oil underpins energy derivatives.<\/p>\n<p>Like any futures market, compute contracts will need both buyers and sellers. Companies worried about rising compute costs would seek protection from higher prices, while providers with large amounts of capacity could hedge against the risk of prices falling.<\/p>\n<p>Silicon Data&#8217;s benchmarks have already begun appearing in high-profile corporate disclosures. <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1\">SpaceX<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"\/><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span>, for example, referenced the company&#8217;s GPU rental-rate data in its prospectus to go public.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Speculators coming in<\/h3>\n<p>Not everyone in the market would be looking to hedge risk. As with other futures markets, compute contracts would also draw speculators \u2014 traders with no direct need for GPU capacity but a view on where compute prices are headed.<\/p>\n<p>Proponents argue that speculators play an important role in building liquidity and improving price discovery. Critics counter that speculation can amplify volatility and disconnect prices from underlying demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Speculators are a very important piece of the ecosystem as well,&#8221; Li said. &#8220;You need natural hedgers. You need market makers. You need speculators. They have opinion. They want to express their opinion, which is perfectly fine.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Harvard MBA said traders who believe they have insight into future supply and demand dynamics should be able to express those views through the market, helping establish prices for the broader industry.<\/p>\n<p>The ProShares and Rex Shares filings for ETFs are contingent on regulatory approval of the futures market. Still, they suggest some investors already view AI compute as a potentially tradable asset class rather than simply a technology input.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Benchmarking AI compute cost<\/h3>\n<p>Unlike a barrel of oil, AI compute is not a standardized physical commodity. Silicon Data said there are more than 50 different configurations of Nvidia&#8217;s H100 chip alone, with prices varying based on processors, memory, networking, utilization rates and data center location.<\/p>\n<p>For the proposed futures market to work, traders need confidence that a single benchmark can accurately represent those variations.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;What we do is normalize the prices coming to our platform every day to a base H100 case,&#8221; Li said. &#8220;It&#8217;s a very complicated normalization step, even before the index calculation step.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Kim, the Santa Clara finance professor, noted that standardization has always been a challenge for futures markets. Corn futures, for example, specify the exact grade of corn that can be delivered under a contract. Compute markets face a similar task: defining precisely what buyers and sellers are trading. <\/p>\n<p>The Commodity Futures Trading Commission<strong> &#8220;<\/strong>is going to want to know exactly what the product is,&#8221; Kim said. Contract specifications, settlement procedures and benchmark construction are all likely to face scrutiny before the market can launch, she said.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014 CNBC&#8217;s Charlotte Morabito contributed to this story.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"RegularArticle-GooglePreferredSource-5\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For decades, companies have turned to futures markets to manage uncertainty. Airlines hedge fuel costs. Farmers hedge crops. Manufacturers hedge metals.fcomm Now a startup wants to bring that same financial machinery to artificial intelligence. Silicon Data, a company that tracks pricing across cloud providers and GPU marketplaces, has partnered with CME Group to launch what [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4023,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[3569,3128,3566,2959,546,3568,3567],"class_list":["post-4021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-loan","tag-commodity","tag-computing","tag-effort","tag-oil","tag-power","tag-tradeable","tag-turn"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4023"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finzexpert.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}